Why Naples Real Estate is Undervalued

On September 19, CNBC did a story on the “Finding Housing’s Market Basement” where Richard Dekaser, a senior vice president and chief economist at National City Corp., singled out Naples in talking about the “first rays of sunshine on a possible end to the housing crisis.”

“Three years ago, the poster child for excess valuation in America was Naples, Florida,” he said.

Not anymore. Through the second quarter of this year, prices have dropped 33 percent, he said, leading him to judge the market as “slightly undervalued.” That means home prices are actually lower than where they should be.

Although I have not agreed with Mr. Dekaser in the past regarding, due largely to the methodology used in evaluating Naples overvaluation, I do have to agree with him at this time – to a point. Where I differ with Mr. Dekaser is that the Naples real estate market has gone through significant valuation adjustments and just might be undervalued to such a point where prospective buyers might be missing some excellent purchase opportunities.

In order to better understand the Naples area real estate market it is best to break down the market into an overview of single family homes and [Read more...]

Estero Condos for Sale Inventory

As a seller you want to know how many Estero condos are competing with you for the prospective buyers looking at Estero condos, as well as how aggressive you need to be with your list price. As a buyer you want to know how large a selection of condos are on the market and if you can great a great deal on a condo.

The actual number of Estero condos for sale increased from August to September, with condos for sale decreased by only 2 condos. The total available condos was 307 in August versus 305 at the end of September. However, due to the level of closed sales the months of inventory for Estero condos for sale has remained at a stable level at September’s 15 months from August’s 14 months. Since the beginning of February 2008 with 38 months of inventory, the months have dropped an outstanding 23 months to its present level. The reader should review the graph as not only does it measure the months of inventory (adsorption rate) based upon a 12 month moving average, but reflects the 3, 6, and 9 month moving average.

Estero condos for sale months of inventory
Estero condos for sale months of inventory

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Estero Homes for Sale Inventory

The actual number of Estero homes for sale increased from August to September, with homes for sale increasing by 19 homes. The total available homes was 456 in August versus 476 at the end of September. However, due to the level of closed sales the months of inventory for Estero homes for sale has remained level at September from August’s 20 months. Since the beginning of February 2008 with 32 months of inventory, the months have dropped 12 months to its present level. The reader should review the graph as not only does it measure the months of inventory (adsorption rate) based upon a 12 month moving average, but reflects the 3, 6, and 9 month moving average.

The real estate market for Estero single family homes still remains a strong buyers market. A neutral market is generally around 6 months of inventory.

Below the presentation is a discussion of the meaning for the various absorption rates and how they may influence your decision for selling or buying real estate in the Estero real estate market.

Estero homes for sale months of inventory.
Estero homes for sale months of inventory.

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Bonita Springs Condos for Sale Inventory

Before making a decision to selling or buy a condo in Bonita Springs it is important to know and understand the months of inventory available for sale within Bonita Springs. As a seller you want to know how many condos are competing with you for the prospective buyers looking at condos, as well as how aggressive you need to be with your list price. As a buyer you want to know how large a selection of condos are on the market and if you can great a great deal on a condo. The months of inventory will assist you in determining if now is an appropriate time to list your condo or purchase a condo at a great price. The months of inventory represents how long it will take to sell the number of condos on the market at the rate of closed sales based upon the average over a period of 12, 9, 6, or 3 months.

Bonita Springs Condos for Sale Months of Inventory
Bonita Springs Condos for Sale Months of Inventory

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Bonita Springs Homes for Sale Inventory

Before making a decision to selling or buy a home in Bonita Springs it is important to know and understand the months of inventory available for sale within Bonita Springs. As a seller you want to know how many properties are competing with you for the prospective buyers looking at homes, as well as how aggressive you need to be with your list price. As a buyer you want to know how large a selection of homes are on the market and if you can great a great deal on a home. The months of inventory will assist you in determining if now is an appropriate time to list your home or purchase a home at a great price. The months of inventory represents how long it will take to sell the number of homes on the market at the rate of closed sales based upon the average over a period of 12, 9, 6, or 3 months.

Bonita Springs months of inventory homes for sale.
Bonita Springs months of inventory homes for sale.

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