Naples Home Market Conditions March 2008

The market conditions for Naples covers both the month of March 2008 and the first calendar quarter of 2008, ending March 31, 2008. A monthly analysis reflects activity during a month with comparative data for the previous years of 2007 and 2006. The quarterly analysis covers a longer period of time, therefore, giving a more comprehensive picture of the current market conditions and trends. Trends are important for both buyers and sellers in determining their actions in the Naples real estate market, as well as, cyclical variations.

MARCH ANALYSIS

NEW LISTINGS:

During the month of March a total of 698 homes were listed for sale. The 698 homes listed were lower than March 2007 and 2006, where the total homes listed were 959 and 1100 respectively. The number of home listed in March, other than December 2007 (670), is the lowest volume of new listings since October 2005. The effect of less listings coming on the market is starting to be reflected in the total number of homes available for sale as March is showing 6016 versus 6186 homes in February. Although a slight decline, it is a positive sign for market improvement.

PENDING SALES:

The number of homes where purchase contracts were negotiated was 308. During March 2007 a total of 274 homes were pending sale – March 2008 was an increase of 34 homes or a 12.4% increase. In March 2006 the pending sales totaled 347 homes. The 308 pending sales for March represent the highest number of pending sales since March 2006 where 347 were under contract. One has to go back to August 2005 (323) to find a higher volume of pending sales.

CLOSED SALES:

During the month of March 169 were sold versus 213 in 2007 and 302 in 2006. To the casual observer the number of closings during March may not appear optimistic, however, there are some factors which must be considered – lenders have much stricter underwriting guidelines, fewer liberal loan programs, and the length of time needed to obtain lender approval for possible short sales.

MEDIAN SOLD PRICE:

In the month of March the median price paid a Naples home was $365000. In 2007 the median price was $495000 and in 2006 $489101. The median has declined approximately 26.3% between 2008 and 2007, while from 2006 it is a decline of 25.4%.

INVENTORY:

As stated earlier, there are 6016 homes currently on market which represents about 37 months of inventory to be sold. 


QUARTERLY ANALYSIS

NEW LISTINGS:

The number of homes listed during the first quarter of 2007 totaled 2834 while the first quarter of 2007 was 3369 and 2006 was 3576. If one were look at the trend for the previous 3 calendar quarters, it would show an increasing trend line, but it needs to be looked at more critical since the month of January is the highest month for listings.

CLOSED SALES:

In the first calendar quarter of 2008 a total of 437 homes were closed. The closed sales were lower than 2007 with 500 closed sales and 2006 with 688. The implications of lenders’ actions are reflected within the lower volume of closed sales. The closed sales for the first quarter of 2008 are the second lowest starting with the second quarter of 2005. The lowest volume of 406 was during the fourth quarter of 2007.

MEDIAN SOLD PRICE:

The median sold price for a home in Naples during the first quarter was $400000 versus the median prices of $499500 in 2007 and $499275 in 2006. The decline in the median price is about 20% from the previous two first quarters. The median price paid trend line over the immediate five calendar quarters shows a decline, however, the most recent three quarters shows only a 4.4% decline. This could a sign of the market approaching or at the bottom. One does not truly know the bottom of the market until after it passes.

In summary, the real estate market is showing some positive signs where the new listings are decreasing, pending sales are increasing, and median prices are relatively stable over the past three quarters. The negative signs are the lower volume of closed sales and the number of months of inventory for homes for sale.

If you have any questions please do not hesitate to either post them as a comment or e-mail me.

 

Real Estate News 04/24/08

REAL ESTATE TAXES

The Florida House passed a stringent tax-cut package along party lines, but faces long odds in getting the Senate to agree to cuts that would dig into local government and school budgets.

NEW HOME SALES

New home sales were down again in March by 8.5 percent, with the median price 13.3 percent lower than in March 2007.

HOMETOWN DEMOCRACY

A Florida Court of Appeal yesterday overturned a law allowing voters to revoke their signature from a petition signed in favor of the Hometown Democracy anti-growth amendment. Opponents of the amendment plan to appeal the decision. No matter what the outcome, though, the Hometown Democracy Amendment will not appear on the November ballot.

Computer Tip – today I this great resource for computer users on the Sellius Blog – you might want to check it out – 529 Computer Tips from PC Magazine. Thanks for the great article, Joe Ferrara.

Real Estate News 04/23/08

HOMEOWNERS INSURANCE

It’s a do-over: Allstate Corp. is preparing for both favorable and unfavorable rulings on its ability to conduct new business in Florida after an appeals court erroneously released a decision late Monday that could have meant trouble for the insurer. The real ruling is expected Tuesday.

SUBPRIME MORTGAGES

Efforts to help struggling borrowers are falling short, according to a report from the State Foreclosure Prevention Working Group, which found that 70 percent of homeowners at least two months behind on their mortgage payments still aren’t getting help. The number of homeowners facing foreclosure has increased 16 percent, partly based on slow assistance from lenders, according to the report.

INSURANCE ADJUSTERS

Public adjusters: Defenders of homeowners or opportunists who milk the system? While many property owners credit public adjusters with saving their home, critics claim that adjusters pressure homeowners to submit less-than-legitimate claims. In response, a handful of bills in the Florida Legislature would create new oversight rules.  

Real Estate News 04/22/08

HOME SALES

Florida Association of Realtors statewide reported slight gains in existing home and condominium sales from February to March 2008, according to Florida Association of Realtor’s latest housing statistics. A total of 9,142 existing single-family homes changed hands in March, a 10 percent increase over the previous month. Statewide existing condo sales totaled 3,145 in March, up 13.7 percent compared to February’s sales. Tomorrow market updates for Naples, Bonita Springs, and Estero will be posted.

HOMEOWNERSHIP

The American Dream lives. According to a survey from America On Line Real Estate and Zogby International, 31 percent of respondents believe their home is worth more than it was a year ago, and 56 percent do not think their home will be worth less in five years; 69 percent consider real estate to be a viable investment.

SUBPRIME MORTGAGES

A leading plan in Congress would make it easier for an at-risk homeowner to get an Federal Housing Administration – backed mortgage. If enacted as written, total monthly debt obligations could rise to 50 percent (or 55 percent at Federal Housing Administration’s discretion) of monthly income, and a poor credit score or past delinquencies cannot by themselves disqualify a homeowner.

JUMBO LOANS

Jumbo loans have been tainted by the subprime mortgage crisis even for borrowers with good credit. Twelve months ago, only a quarter point separated jumbo rates from conventional mortgage rates; but today, the difference is more than 1.5 points.

ALLSTATE

Allstate’s 1,100 insurance agents in Florida are still in business, thanks to a mistake by Florida’s 1st District Court of Appeal. The court issued an order denying Allstate’s appeal of a suspension but quickly withdrew it “due to clerical error.”

Real Estate News 04/21/08

HOMEOWNERS INSURANCE

Headed into the final two weeks of the legislative session, several property insurance bills winding through the state House and Senate are like hurricanes – they’re moving slowly, gaining speed and could hit homeowners hard.

FEDERAL REGULATION

Many conservatives now think the government needs to get more involved in regulating the financial aspects of the housing industry, even if it goes against their philosophical position concerning limited government interference in business and individuals’ lives.

HOUSING AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT

President Bush on Friday chose Small Business Administration Administrator Steve Preston to take over as head of the government’s housing agency at a time of crisis in the industry. Democrats praised him as a problem-solver.

HEALTH INSURANCE

The Florida House early Saturday passed a massive plan to make affordable, bare-bones health insurance available for Floridians. A less wide-ranging proposal has already passed the Senate, and now the two groups must work out their differences before sending a final proposal to Govenor Charlie Crist.