Prior to presenting the analysis for August we need to reflect on the events which took place last August 15 – the sub-prime and liberal loan programs came to a screaming halt along with liquidity issues for lenders lasting for a couple of months. The result was a further weakening of already weak real estate market. Sub-prime and liberal loan programs accounted for about 16 percent of the purchases which had taken place previous to August 2007.

Going forward the monthly statistics will bear monitoring to assess the strengthening or weakening of the of the Naples home market.

Strengthening does not necessarily mean price appreciation, but takes into effect a lower volume of new listings (even though it is anticipated more listings will come on the market due to seasonal fluctuations), pending sales increasing, and closed sales over the previous year.

Weakening of the market will reflect just the opposite.

Another consideration to be explored is how developments or subdivisions where subprime borrowing took place may affect the overall performance statistics for the overall Naples home market, and leaving both sellers and buyers with what could be incorrect perceptions. An example of this is being seen in the drastic decline of the median price paid for homes during the month August in the year over year analysis; however, after excluding some developments or subdivisions the median price decline is not quite so drastic. Proving once again that real estate is so local that it has to be looked very closely. [Read more...]