Why buy Naples real estate now

Jim Cramer: Florida Raises Hope for U.S. Real Estate

It appears that Jim Cramer thinks that Florida is the model for the nation’s real estate market. He thinks that Florida was the first state to feel impact of the real estate bubble and now after 2 years it has bottomed out with the rest of the country to follow. Below is his discussion from a recent interview he had on Wall Street Confidential.

Over the previous months subtle indications in the Naples, Bonita Springs, and Estero real estate markets have shown signs of improvement by the lowering of homes and condos for sale as well as less listings coming on the market than in previous 2 years.

Prices have declined to a point where multiple offers are being presented on properly priced properties.

Buyers need to be aware of the estimated market value of a property and
be prepared to rethink that a full price offer will be
the offer accepted and be willing to offer more than the listed price close to the estimated market value.

Sellers still need to be aware that they need to properly price their properties due to the competition from potential short sales and foreclosures.

Estero Condos for Sale Inventory

As a seller you want to know how many Estero condos are competing with you for the prospective buyers looking at Estero condos, as well as how aggressive you need to be with your list price. As a buyer you want to know how large a selection of condos are on the market and if you can great a great deal on a condo.

The actual number of Estero condos for sale increased from August to September, with condos for sale decreased by only 2 condos. The total available condos was 307 in August versus 305 at the end of September. However, due to the level of closed sales the months of inventory for Estero condos for sale has remained at a stable level at September’s 15 months from August’s 14 months. Since the beginning of February 2008 with 38 months of inventory, the months have dropped an outstanding 23 months to its present level. The reader should review the graph as not only does it measure the months of inventory (adsorption rate) based upon a 12 month moving average, but reflects the 3, 6, and 9 month moving average.

Estero condos for sale months of inventory
Estero condos for sale months of inventory

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Estero Homes for Sale Inventory

The actual number of Estero homes for sale increased from August to September, with homes for sale increasing by 19 homes. The total available homes was 456 in August versus 476 at the end of September. However, due to the level of closed sales the months of inventory for Estero homes for sale has remained level at September from August’s 20 months. Since the beginning of February 2008 with 32 months of inventory, the months have dropped 12 months to its present level. The reader should review the graph as not only does it measure the months of inventory (adsorption rate) based upon a 12 month moving average, but reflects the 3, 6, and 9 month moving average.

The real estate market for Estero single family homes still remains a strong buyers market. A neutral market is generally around 6 months of inventory.

Below the presentation is a discussion of the meaning for the various absorption rates and how they may influence your decision for selling or buying real estate in the Estero real estate market.

Estero homes for sale months of inventory.
Estero homes for sale months of inventory.

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Fed Rate Drops .5 Percent

In a surprise move, the Fed slashes rates by 50 basis points today.

How will this effect interest rates on mortgages?

Federal Reserve cuts in the federal funds rate have an unpredictable impact on long-term mortgage rates. So it’s impossible to know for sure when — or even if — rates will fall as a result of the Fed’s emergency rate cut.

Adjustable rate mortgages (ARM’s) may be more sensitive to Federal Reserve rate decisions, especially if the spread between the federal funds rate and the London Interbank Offered Rate — more commonly known as LIBOR — narrows. There could be an impact due to other countries also dropping their interest rates by their central banks.

Depending on the exact nature of their mortgage, some people with ARMs may see their rate adjust downward the next time the mortgage resets.

Estero Condo Market Update

August Activity:

Listings:

During the month of August 31 Estero condos were listed for sale. For the same month in 2007, 43 condos were listed for sale; this represents a decrease of 27.9 percent. The decrease from 2006 was 50 percent from the 62 new listings. In July 2008 a total 43 condos were listed for sale.

In February a total of 432 condominiums were available for sale. As of the end of August the number of condos available for sale has been reduced by 125 units or about 28.9 percent to 307 condos.

estero condos absorption graph

The number of months of condominiums for sale has decreased from February’s 38 months to 14 months as of the end of August. [Read more...]

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