Naples Homes for Sale – April

Naples Homes For Sale - February 2008 to March 2009

Naples Homes For Sale - February 2008 to March 2009

As of the end of March 2009, there were a total of 5,197 homes for sale in the Naples area. Compared with March 2008 there was a reduction of 819 homes or about 14 percent. This also represents a reduction in available homes for sale from February of 100 homes.

The number of active listings is determined on April 1st based upon the close of business on March 31st.

After the 5th business day of April an analysis of the months of homes for sale inventory will be posted on this blog for prospective buyers and sellers.

Foreclosures Sales Price to List Price in Naples

A frequent question asked in today’s real estate market is “How much will a lender or bank discount the list price of a foreclosed single family home which they own in the Naples area?”

One individual stated that banks are selling these properties with a discount of 25% from the list price or 75% of the list price.

In today’s real estate and traditionally over the past decade, it has the practice of lenders, banks and REO (real estate owned) service companies to request either an appraisal of the home by an appraiser or a broker’s price opinion (BPO), perpared by a real estate broker or agent, for the subject home to determine the estimated market value. Periodically, during the time the home is for sale, the estimated market value is reassessed using a BPO.

A study of closed sales during the month of February 2009 for Naples single family homes did not support this statement. The actual difference in terms of percentage between sales price and list price was 10.16 percent or 89.16 percent from the current list price. When looking at the original list price the sales price to list price ration was 18.45 percent or 81.55 percent.

Prior to making a purchase a prospective buyer should have a comparative market analysis done rather than looking at the list price and have a pre-determined percentage of discount from the list price set in their minds. The above percentages between sales price and list price can be used only as a guide in opening the negotiation process.

Naples Home Market Update

During the month of February 2009 a total of 228 homes were sold with a median sold price of $211,300 for the Naples area.

The number of homes sold when compared with February 2008 shows an increase in sales volume of 85 homes or roughly 59.4 percent.

The February 2009 homes sold also represents an increase over February 2007 by 81 homes or roughly 55.1 percent.

In addition the 2009 homes sold figure is 25.3 percent higher than February 2006 by 46 homes.

The median price of a single family home sold in the Naples area does reflect a devaluation from the median sold price of $400,000 in February 2007 or $188,700, which translates to roughly 47.2 percent. [Read more...]

Why Naples Real Estate is Undervalued

On September 19, CNBC did a story on the “Finding Housing’s Market Basement” where Richard Dekaser, a senior vice president and chief economist at National City Corp., singled out Naples in talking about the “first rays of sunshine on a possible end to the housing crisis.”

“Three years ago, the poster child for excess valuation in America was Naples, Florida,” he said.

Not anymore. Through the second quarter of this year, prices have dropped 33 percent, he said, leading him to judge the market as “slightly undervalued.” That means home prices are actually lower than where they should be.

Although I have not agreed with Mr. Dekaser in the past regarding, due largely to the methodology used in evaluating Naples overvaluation, I do have to agree with him at this time – to a point. Where I differ with Mr. Dekaser is that the Naples real estate market has gone through significant valuation adjustments and just might be undervalued to such a point where prospective buyers might be missing some excellent purchase opportunities.

In order to better understand the Naples area real estate market it is best to break down the market into an overview of single family homes and [Read more...]

Naples Homes Inventory

The actual number of Naples homes for sale remained level from September to October, with fewer homes for sale by 3. The total available homes was 5247 in September versus 5244 in October. However, due to the level of closed sales the months of inventory for Naples homes for sale has decreased one month from the beginning of September (29 months) compared to October (28 months). Since the beginning of February 2008 with 38 months of inventory, the months have dropped 10 months to its present level. The reader should review the graph as not only does it measure the absorption rate based upon a 12 month moving average, but reflects the 3, 6, and 9 month moving average.

The real estate market for Naples single family homes still remains a strong buyers market. A neutral market is generally around 6 months of inventory.

Below the presentation is a discussion of the meaning for the various absorption rates and how they may influence your decision for selling or buying real estate.

Graph for the number of months to absorb the current number of listings.
Graph for the months to absorb the current number
of Naples single family home listings.

[Read more...]

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